EMERGING FUNDING FOR THE REAL ECONOMY
Third edition
April 19th, 2016
Athenee Palace Hilton Bucharest
OVERVIEW
Financial markets and real economies are diverging. The financial cycle has fallen behind the business cycle. Asset valuations and investor perceptions have sudden moves, trying to bridge the gaps, unleashing the forces of market volatility. The global financial crisis channels regionally its influence on the banking and non-banking segments of Romania’s developing financial market.
Will Romania be able to sustain the current growth trend in the near future? In the context of a heavily banking dependent funding of Romania’s economic sectors, local entrepreneurs and SMEs are often forced to deal with a subsistence economy. The banks do not the lack liquidity but have a higher pressure on managing the risk. What are the opportunities for non-banking lenders/funding? Which are the viable alternatives for financing the real economy?
One generation of private equity funds has come to maturity. Will there be a new wave coming in? Which sectors will they be looking at? Which are the factors that will influence the venture capital activity in Romania in the near future? And what do investors see as the main incentives for private equity investment in Romania versus other CEE countries?
The conference aims to bring together the stakeholders of the real economy’s funding value chain, giving everybody a platform and a chance to speak out their concerns. Our moderators encourage both speakers and participants to engage in debates and exchange of ideas and create a permanent dialogue between the panelists and the audience.
Guest Speaker
George Friedman
Founder and Chairman
Geopolitical Futures
George Friedman is a geopolitical thinker, bestselling author of a number of books, among which the latest "Flashpoints: The Emerging Crisis in Europe". As Founder and Chairman of Geopolitical Futures, a new online publication dedicated to forecasting the course of global events, Friedman combines his passion for writing and publishing for his readers world wide who follow international affairs.
Prior to founding Geopolitical Futures, Friedman guided the intellectual vision of Stratfor, the geopolitical intelligence publishing and consulting firm he founded in 1996.
Speakers
Victor Vlad Grigorescu
Minister of Energy, Government of RomaniaBogdan Olteanu
Deputy Governor National Bank of RomaniaEnache Jiru
State Secretary Ministry of Public FinanceManuel Costescu
State Secretary, Invest RomaniaFlorin Ilie
Director, Head of Financial Markets, ING RomaniaIonut Dumitru
Chief Economist, Raiffeisen Bank RomaniaJuraj Kotian
Head of CEE Macro/Fixed Income Research, Erste GroupMihaela Bitu
Deputy CEO, ING RomaniaTibor Pandi
CEO, Citi RomaniaRaluca Tintoiu
CEO NN PensiiDragos Neacsu
CEO Erste Asset ManagementSerban Roman
Country Director, Enterprise InvestorsIoana Filipescu
Managing Director, Filipescu Visa Financial AdvisorsDavid Butts
Managing Partner, Co-head of International Private Equity, CMSMona Neagoe
Partner and Country Manager Romania Pedersen & PartnersMarius Ghenea
Investment Director, 3TS Capital PartnersAntonia Colibasanu
Partner, Regional Director for Eurasia, StratforCristina Reichmann
Partner, Head of Capital Markets, FIS and Structured Finance, CMSSimon Dayes
Partner, Head of Banking & International Finance in SEE, CMSLuca Bertalot
Secretary General, European Mortgage FederationAndreia Radu
Principal Investment Officer, IFC - World Bank GroupIulian Mangalagiu
CEO, Brikston Construction SolutionsYilmaz Karakas
Investment Manager, ADM CapitalDorin Alexandru Badea
Executive Director, Head of Capital Markets and Financial Institutions EximBank RomaniaMihail Ion
Executive Director for Mid Market Corporates and Public Sector, Raiffeisen Bank RomaniaMark Wallace
Founder and Managing Partner MWRSCristian Micu
Member of the Board, Bucharest Stock ExchangeRaluca Nicolescu
Director, Balance Sheet and Portfolio Management, Raiffeisen BankDoru Lionachescu
Senior Representative, Banca TransilvaniaRazvan Nan
Associate Director, Deal Advisory, KPMG RomaniaHorea Popescu
Partner, Head of Corporate and M&A in Romania, CMSAxel Kalinowski
Manager - Continental Europe, London Stock Exchange GroupAlexander Zeidler
Vice President – Senior Credit Officer Covered Bonds Moody'sRichard Kemmish
Senior consultant, EBRDMihai Marcu
Chairman of the Board, MedLifeDorian Macovei
Managing Director, EMSA CapitalAGENDA
Registration and Welcome Coffee
Opening Session – Local and regional views (Le Diplomat Ballroom)
Geopolitical risks and their implications for Eurozone growth. Impact of the migrant crisis on CEE. How will Romania respond to the new geopolitical situation?
How ECB and Fed policies impact the CEE markets? Degree of convergence of CEE countries towards Western Europe – what is the impact of the slow pace of convergence?
Macroeconomic Trends: Romania vs CEE countries. Monetary policy and fiscal constraints in Romania comparative to CEE economies.
How will Romania be able to sustain the current growth trend? What can we expect to be growth drivers for the year ahead?
Guest Speaker:
- George Friedman, Founder and Chairman, Geopolitical Futures
Panelists:
- Bogdan Olteanu, Deputy Governor, National Bank of Romania
- Enache Jiru, State Secretary, Ministry of Public Finance, Government of Romania
- Manuel Costescu, State Secretary, Invest Romania, Government of Romania
- Ionut Dumitru, Chief Economist, Raiffeisen Bank Romania
- Juraj Kotian, Head of CEE Macro/Fixed Income Research, Erste Group
Moderators:
- Florin Ilie, Director, Head of Financial Markets, ING Romania
- Antonia Colibasanu, Partner, Regional Director for Eurasia, Stratfor
Coffee Break
Panel I – Challenges of the banking sector and their impact on the real economy (Le Diplomat Ballroom)
What are the consequences of the ECB QE’s policy on Romanian financial market? Interest rate policies for the new economic situation.
Higher capital requirements, increased regulation, high NPLs, low interest environment – how do we face these challenges?
Consolidation of the banking sector – how far are we?
Despite high liquidity environment do banks have risk appetite to finance the real economy? Do companies need funding or capital?
Impact of digitalization on retail financial services.
Banking Union and the Resolution Directive.
Panelists:
- Tibor Pandi, CEO, Citi Romania
- Mihaela Bitu, Deputy CEO, ING Romania
- Mihail Ion, Executive Director for Mid Market Corporates and Public Sector, Raiffeisen Bank Romania
- Dorin Alexandru Badea, Executive Director, Head of Capital Markets and Financial Institutions, EximBank Romania
- Doru Lionachescu, Senior Representative, Banca Transilvania Financial Group
Moderators:
- Simon Dayes, Partner and Head of Banking & International Finance in SEE, CMS
- Razvan Nan, Associate Director, Deal Advisory, KPMG Romania
Coffee Break
Parallel Panel II A – Private equity focus (Le Diplomat Ballroom)
The headline Private Equity deals in Romania in recent years.
What does the future hold/what's next?
Potential targets and opportunities in Romania, including hot industry sectors for PE investment.
Is the market under-penetrated? Forecast for the next year(s)
Opportunities and challenges arising from the generational shift.
"Buy and build" strategy - changing the PE landscape.
Case study: going through the investment process - perspective from both sides
Panelists:
- Serban Roman, Country Manager Romania, Enterprise Investors
- Yilmaz Karakas, Investment Manager, ADM Capital
- Marius Ghenea, Investment Director, 3TS Capital
- Ioana Filipescu, Managing Partner, Filipescu Visa
- Iulian Mangalagiu, CEO, Brikston Construction Solutions
- Dorian Macovei, Managing Director, EMSA Capital
Moderators:
- David Butts, Managing Partner, Co-Head of International Private Equity, CMS
- Mona Neagoe, Partner & Country Manager Romania, Head of Professional Advisory Services Practice, Pedersen & Partners
Parallel Panel II B: Covered bonds roundtable (Mozart 1 & 2 Hall, first floor)
Discussion on the new legislative framework for Covered bonds: Law no. 304/2015 and secondary legislation issued by the National Bank of Romania.
Panelists:
- Luca Bertalot, Secretary General, European Mortgage Federation
- Florentina Boboc, Director, ASF
- Richard Kemmish, Senior Consultant, EBRD
- Raluca Nicolescu, Executive Director, Balance Sheet & Portfolio Management, Raiffeisen Bank Romania
- Andreia Radu, Principal Investment Officer, IFC - World Bank Group
- Veronica Raducanescu, Deputy Director, National Bank of Romania
- Alexander Zeidler, Covered Bonds VP – Senior Credit Officer, Moody’s Investors Services
Moderators:
- Cristina Reichmann, Partner, Head of Capital Markets, FIS and Structured Finance, CMS
Networking Buffet
Panel III – Investment opportunities, strategies and challenges in the current market conditions (Le Diplomat Ballroom)
What is the current investment environment situation?
How to cope with the challenges of a low interest environment?
Which is the optimal allocation mix in the current market conditions?
Rethinking companies’ capital structure. Do companies need more capital or just different capital structure?
Where is Romania on innovation of investment practices?
Structural reforms and particularly improvements in SOEs. Case studies and lessons learnt.
How to embrace the Capital Market Union‘s opportunities and challenges in a local / regional context?
Panelists:
- Victor Vlad Grigorescu, Ministry of Energy, Government of Romania
- Dragos Neacsu, CEO, Erste Asset Management
- Raluca Tintoiu, CEO, NN Pensii
- Axel Kalinowski Manager - Continental Europe, London Stock Exchange Group
- Cristian Micu, Member of the Board, Bucharest Stock Exchange
- Mihai Marcu, Chairman of the Board, MedLife
Moderators:
- Mark Wallace, Founder and Managing Partner, MWRS
- Cristina Reichmann, Partner, Head of Capital Markets, FIS and Structured Finance, CMS